{"id":6334,"date":"2021-08-25T15:21:25","date_gmt":"2021-08-25T13:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/?p=6334"},"modified":"2025-08-22T17:35:23","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T15:35:23","slug":"fact-or-fake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/fact-or-fake\/","title":{"rendered":"Fact or Fake?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why telling the difference between The True Truth and The Fake News is so difficult.<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s lots of information out there on the internet. And sometimes it\u2019s contradictory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>About the state of the climate crisis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>About who won the 2020 US election.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>About how best to train animals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In this blog post, I will not discuss these topics at any length (although if you\u2019re insatiably curious, I\u2019ll reveal my position on them), but rather beg the question: how do we know which information to believe?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You may think it\u2019s by somehow <em>recognizing truths <\/em>and<em> rejecting false information.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s just that we humans are not very good at doing that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We very often reject information, even though it\u2019s true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we accept information, even though it\u2019s false.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we all do it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Every. Single. Person. Does this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aunt Peggie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our view of the world is skewed, in some way or another. We\u2019ve all built our personal understanding of the world on a mix of truths and falsehoods. Hopefully mostly truths, but still\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In essence, we all look at the world through partly broken glasses. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"619\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_52599703_xl-2015-1024x619.jpg\" alt=\"A close-up of a chain\n\nDescription automatically generated with low confidence\" class=\"wp-image-6335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_52599703_xl-2015-1024x619.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_52599703_xl-2015-300x181.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_52599703_xl-2015-768x464.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_52599703_xl-2015.jpg 1270w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The glasses may be more or less broken \u2013 but they are not perfect.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Disconcerting as that realization may be, I think that <em>simply being aware that our glasses are partly broken<\/em> will make it easier to fix them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The purpose of this blog post is to alert you to your broken glasses, give ideas about how to fix them, and also how to go about helping others with their glasses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>So, why do we reject some information that\u2019s true, and accept falsehoods?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, that has to do with how we acquire knowledge. How do we get to know what we know?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To answer that question, we must go back to our pre-historic hunter-gatherer days, which is where we\u2019ve spent 99% of human history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During that time, we discovered things ourselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"195\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_8966619_xl-2015-195x300.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text, clipart\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_8966619_xl-2015-195x300.jpg 195w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_8966619_xl-2015-666x1024.jpg 666w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_8966619_xl-2015.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 195px) 100vw, 195px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>How to make fire. An axe. A wheel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then we\u2019d tell our group: <em>\u201dLook, here\u2019s how to make fire!\u201d<\/em> Through verbal transmission of information, and very hands-on, we taught our friends and family what we had learned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And fast-forwarding through history, then we invented writing \u2013 and information could then be transferred not only geographically from one corner of the earth to another, but through time. So now, we can read things that people wrote thousands of years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, we stand on the shoulders of giants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"648\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_155920816_xl-2015-1024x648.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing sunset, outdoor, sky, water\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6337\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_155920816_xl-2015-1024x648.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_155920816_xl-2015-300x190.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_155920816_xl-2015-768x486.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_155920816_xl-2015.jpg 1213w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The accumulated knowledge of mankind is at our disposal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the accumulated crazy ideas of mankind are <em>also<\/em> literally at our fingertips, one click away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, we\u2019re constantly having to decide whether to accept or reject new information. Assess whether it\u2019s useful and true, and whether it\u2019s worth the effort to assimilate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And be wary of, or aware of, the risk of accepting false information.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Judging whether a new piece of information is fact &#8211; or fake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_313865706_xl-2015-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing wall, person, indoor\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_313865706_xl-2015-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_313865706_xl-2015-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_313865706_xl-2015-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Depositphotos_313865706_xl-2015.jpg 1151w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This is where <em>cognitive biases<\/em> come in, and mess things up big time. These biases arose early on in our evolutionary history as a way for us to take mental shortcuts, make quick decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not having to spend time questioning and analyzing novel information, but simply taking a new piece of knowledge from a trusted person for granted, and also, not being fooled by someone from the rivalling tribe. The archeological record tells us that many early hominids died violent deaths, presumably during skirmishes with other tribes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, in prehistoric times, there was a compelling reason to trust members of one\u2019s own tribe, as well as assume that strangers were lying bastards literally out to get you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>We are biased to thinking that information from familiar people is true, and information from strangers is false.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And sometimes, those biases result in grave errors of judgment, and this is especially likely to occur if that new piece of knowledge is complex, new, or if we perceive that it\u2019s dangerous. In such cases, these cognitive biases make us irrational, and ineffective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A certain pandemic comes to mind, for instance \u2013 this new, complex threat has really illustrated the extent of the problem with cognitive biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the way I see it, the way our brains work, those judgment errors tend to exacerbate, or even perhaps cause, major conflicts. Whether it\u2019s about politics, religion, and who is the best James Bond actor. Or about whether the climate crisis is overstated, whether Biden really was elected, and how best to train animals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And in fact, there are two ways that we\u2019re getting it wrong. Two types of biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>We tend to reject information from strangers, or novel information, even when it\u2019s true.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We tend to believe things that we hear from familiar people, and familiar information, even when it\u2019s false.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So, this is the legacy we carry in our evolutionary backpack: trust our tribe, and assume that strangers are lying bastards who are out to get us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, I know what you\u2019re thinking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cNo, no, no, no, no no. No sirree. Not me. I\u2019m a well-educated, modern human. I carefully weigh any novel information on its own merit, discern the fact from the fake, and make informed decisions.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sorry to break it to you, but you\u2019re a hunter-gatherer wearing a thin veneer of civilization, and you\u2019re wrong about a bunch of things because of these ancient biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Your glasses are broken \u2013 and so are mine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The way to fix those glasses is to become aware of one\u2019s biases. So let\u2019s take a closer look, shall we?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Type 1 biases \u2013 incorrectly rejecting true information.<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>First of all, novel ideas may induce anxiety or even anger, simply<em> because they\u2019re unfamiliar.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, one guy brought these donuts to work, to share with his colleagues. He sliced them, as if they were bread, and shared the picture below on Instagram.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide8-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6339\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide8-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide8-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide8-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide8.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Alek Krautmann posted this image on Instagram; some of the comments he received are listed on the right<\/em>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The post got viral, and many people expressed annoyance at the unorthodox donut serving in the comment\u2019s section.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I find that last one particularly interesting. <em>\u201cI don\u2019t even know you\u201d.<\/em> As if he were a stranger. And although many of these comments were meant jokingly, we do tend to dismiss or even attack ideas that are new, or that come from strangers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Again, this is part of our prehistoric heritage. New things could be dangerous. Familiar things are proven safe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cognitive dissonance<\/strong> occurs when we\u2019re in a situation involving conflicting attitudes, beliefs or behaviors. This produces a feeling of mental discomfort, which we typically handle by trying to change one of those attitudes, beliefs or behaviours to reduce that discomfort and restore balance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, when people smoke and they know that smoking causes cancer, they are in a state of cognitive dissonance. So, they might try to reduce the dissonance by saying things like \u201cI\u2019d rather have a short, pleasant life than a long boring one\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course, people get into cognitive dissonance if they lovingly correct their dog using leash pops, and then learn that using leash corrections can cause them neck injuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, the research on dissonance shows that changing behaviour is difficult, it\u2019s easier to change one\u2019s attitude. To make the chosen alternative, whether it\u2019s smoking or leash correcting the dog, a more attractive alternative than the one we didn\u2019t choose. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide9-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide9-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide9-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide9-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide9.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This whole idea of accepting that maybe some of our knowledge is wrong or incomplete, and that we need to change our opinion or mindset to incorporate new information, is downright painful \u2013 and so we often avoid it. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then we have the <strong>Semmelweis reflex<\/strong>: the tendency to reject new evidence that contradicts the current paradigm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This cognitive bias was named after the Hungarian doctor Semmelweis who discovered that hand washing was a way to prevent infection, back in the 1840s. The medical community at the time wasn\u2019t ready for that because it was believed that sicknesses were caused by bad air, so his ideas didn\u2019t get the attention they deserved.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"498\" height=\"280\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Picture5.gif\" alt=\"Wash Hands Wash Your Hands GIF - WashHands WashYourHands ...\" class=\"wp-image-6341\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The Semmelweiss effect was named after the doctor who discovered that washing hands reduces the spread of disease \u2013 a notion that was originally dismissed by the medical community.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>The Semmelweiss effect, how we tend to <em>reject new findings that contradict our paradigm<\/em>, is very powerful. We might be slightly hesitant to take in novel information that contradicts some insignificant part of our previous knowledge, but we\u2019re extremely averse to accepting information that turns our entire paradigm up-side-down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, Darwin was ridiculed for decades before his theory of evolution was slowly accepted by the scientific community.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"223\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Darwin-223x300.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text, primate, mammal\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6342\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Darwin-223x300.jpg 223w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Darwin.jpg 601w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 223px) 100vw, 223px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Darwin\u2019s theory of evolution triggered the Semmelweiss reflex.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I remember reading about a study where they put people with really strong political views in an fMRI camera, monitoring their brain activity. As part of the experiment, the researchers would challenge those views. And the brain reactions were really strong, producing an increased activity in what\u2019s referred to as the <em>default mode network<\/em>\u2014a set of interconnected structures in the brain associated with self-representation and disengagement from the external world.&nbsp;When these emotional structures are activated, people become less likely to change their minds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When we feel threatened, anxious, we\u2019re less likely to change our minds \u2013 our body reacts <em>as if we\u2019re under physical attack.<\/em> In other words, emotion plays a role in cognition, how we decide what is true and what is not true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Incidentally, that study also found that we\u2019re more likely to adjust non-political beliefs than political beliefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then there\u2019s the <strong>backfire effect<\/strong>. The reaction to disconfirming evidence by strengthening one\u2019s previous beliefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide11-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text, red, light\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide11-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide11-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide11-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide11.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So, sometimes when we try to convince someone that our view is the correct one, the end result is that they\u2019re even more convinced that <em>they<\/em> are right. The conversation actually <em>makes things worse<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is important since it affects both our ability to change other people\u2019s opinion, as well as our ability to process new and challenging information rationally ourselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the animal training world, we\u2019ll often hear people who use shock collars say things <em>like&nbsp;\u201dNo, actually, electric collars are great, they\u2019re not painful at all. The stimulation is just information, it just gets the animal focused\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we try to talk to them, we\u2019ll often see this type of backfire effect. They often become even more convinced that those collars are safe \u2013 and of course cognitive dissonance is triggered too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And then we have <strong>reactance<\/strong> &#8211; the urge to do the opposite of what someone wants us to do, perhaps out of a need to resist a perceived attempt to constrain our freedom of choice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide12-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Diagram, engineering drawing\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6344\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide12-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide12-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide12-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide12.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>One example might be a parent admonishing their teenager that <em>\u201cyou\u2019re too young to drink alcohol\u201d<\/em>\u2026 That prohibition just makes illicit drinking all the more exciting &#8211; and probable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course, people using&nbsp;<strong>reverse psychology<\/strong>&nbsp;are playing on reactance, attempting to influence someone to choose the opposite of what they request. Saying to a child: \u201c<em>You really shouldn\u2019t eat that broccoli, it\u2019s terrible\u201d<\/em>, hoping for a reactance response.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide13-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Diagram\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6345\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide13-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide13-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide13-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide13.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So, to summarize, not only are we likely to reject true information when delivered from strangers, but having a conversation with someone with an opposite view can easily polarize our own views and make us even more convinced that our beliefs \u2013 even when mistaken &#8211; are correct. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before we get to what to do about that, let\u2019s have a look at the other types of biases, and check out some mechanisms that cause us to mistakenly <em>accept<\/em> information that we <em>should<\/em> reject.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Type 2 biases \u2013 mistakenly accepting false information<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>For starters, there\u2019s <strong>anchoring bias.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Think of us all as being attached to an anchor, which is the first information that we learned on a particular subject.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The anchor is our existing knowledge puzzle, and we tend to <em>stick to it<\/em>, regardless of whether it\u2019s true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide1-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text, outdoor, water, beach\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide1.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, we tend to judge other people based on the first impression that they made.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We tend to stay with the religion that we were brought up with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we tend to interact with animals the way our parents did.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Due to the anchoring effect, we stick with what we <em>first<\/em> learned \u2013 regardless of whether it\u2019s true or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s the <strong>bandwagon effect.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our propensity to <em>join the majority<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide2-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Diagram\n\nDescription automatically generated with medium confidence\" class=\"wp-image-6347\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide2-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide2-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide2.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If everybody else thinks using a choke chain is great, then it\u2019s likely that we do too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s difficult and uncomfortable to not join the bandwagon, instead of jumping on board being the person who says <em>\u201cNo thanks, I\u2019m not going that way. I won\u2019t join you.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many of my students have lived through being the only person in a stable saying <em>\u201cI\u2019m going to try positive reinforcement to train my horses\u201d<\/em>. I admire them immensely for this, because not only is it uncomfortable not to get on the bandwagon with everyone else, but the discomfort can turn really painful, because the people on the bandwagon will typically <em>criticize our choice not to get on it.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A double whammy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>availability cascade<\/strong> is when a new, often simple, idea takes hold in a social group, as a collective belief.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide3-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing nature, water, waterfall\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6348\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide3-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide3-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide3-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide3.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This is when people\u2019s need for social acceptance, and the apparent sophistication of a new insight overwhelm their critical thinking. Seeing a new idea expressed by multiple people in our social group can rinse away any reluctance or hesitance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like buying lots of toilet paper in the first few weeks of the Corona pandemic, perhaps, without really thinking it over. Since everyone else did it, we did too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Closely related to this is <strong>tribal epistemology<\/strong> \u2013 when new Information is evaluated based not on how well it is supported by the available evidence, but on whether it supports the tribe\u2019s values and goals and whether it is vouchsafed by the tribal leaders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide4-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text, person, nature\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6349\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide4-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide4-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide4-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide4.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This is where we\u2019ll see in-group favouritism, and how we become loyal to the organizations that we associate with, no matter what they\u2019re saying \u2013 or doing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apparently, we tend to judge the merit of a political bill not on the actual ideas or wording, but on <em>which party we think wrote the bill<\/em>. For instance, Israeli Jews evaluated an actual Israeli-authored peace plan less favorably when it was attributed to the Palestinians than when it was attributed to their own government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s also <strong>authority bias.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We tend to believe people who have authority, regardless of whether what they say is true or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That authority may come about because of higher education, a fancy title, fame, or wearing some badge of office, like military insignia &#8211; or a veterinarian\u2019s coat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide5-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide5-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide5-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide5-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide5.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I remember  experiencing the effect of authority bias, first hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I was a travel guide in France and Portugal, so during the excursion days I would lecture about local botany, animal life, food and politics, and in the evenings, when I started doing small talk around the dinner table, all the conversations around me would stop, and people would lean in and listen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was disconcerting \u2013 and exhilarating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, I got a lot of attention in that situation, not because I had something that terribly interesting to say during dinner, but because in the general context, I had authority.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"185\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Karolina-travel-guide-185x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6351\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Karolina-travel-guide-185x300.jpg 185w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Karolina-travel-guide.jpg 557w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 185px) 100vw, 185px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Karolina the Travel Guide Authority, circa 2000.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Authority bias can get really scary, and dangerous. As I said, it\u2019s exhilarating to get that kind of attention, and many people risk getting warped and carried away by the adulation of the crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just think of the mind-boggling ass-kissing inflating the megalomaniac egos of some semi-illiterate, crude, misogynic, greedy bullies \u2013 just on account of them being famous politicians. It scares me no end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And no, not saying any names. This is not that kind of blog post.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s the <strong>illusory truth effect.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Essentially, hear something enough times, and we\u2019ll start believing it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide6-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A picture containing text\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6352\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide6-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide6-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide6-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide6.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Is Tokyo the capital of Japan? &#8211; Yes, sounds familiar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is Baku the capital of Azerbaijan? &#8211; Yeah, maybe, rings a bell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is there a God? &#8211; Yeah, I\u2019ve heard that before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should we yank the leash when walking the dog? &#8211; Yeah, seen it a hundred times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s <em>familiar<\/em>, and so we believe it, regardless of whether it\u2019s true or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I find this very problematic in today\u2019s Social Media climate, simply that so many unsubstantiated claims are <em>made so often<\/em> that we can no longer distinguish between true statements and familiar statements \u2013 the latter implies the former through the illusory truth effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then there\u2019s <strong>confirmation bias.<\/strong> The way we pay attention to information that confirms and supports what we know, what we already believe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ll fit new puzzle pieces into our existing knowledge puzzle, even if the pieces don\u2019t quite fit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide7-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Graphical user interface, text, application, email\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6353\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide7-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide7-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide7-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide7.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If we even bother to pay attention to contradictory evidence, we might ignore it, or not believe it, or somehow reframe it to support our original belief. Our memory will focus on the small detail that supports the original belief \u2013 and we may forget the rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OK; that\u2019s a few of the mechanisms or biases that explain why we tend to accept things we hear often enough and from people we know, like, and trust \u2013 even though maybe we should reject those ideas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The theme is recurring: we <em>tend to embrace familiar information from familiar people, even when it\u2019s false.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And make no mistake, these are powerful mechanisms, and it\u2019s not just stupid people being victims of these biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are <em>all<\/em> victims of these types of biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But wait, there\u2019s more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Not realizing how little we know \u2013 or how much we know<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s talk about the <strong>Dunning-Kruger effect.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide14-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Dunning-Kruger Effect... When incompetent people are too ...\" class=\"wp-image-6354\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide14-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide14-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide14-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide14.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.someecards.com\/usercards\/viewcard\/MjAxNC0xZDU1ZjVhMTRkNmU5MDlj\/?tagSlug=workplace\">Copyright Someecards<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The quote above sums up one part of the Dunning-Kruger effect: when incompetent people are too incompetent to realize they are incompetent. But that\u2019s just half the story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Dunning-Kruger effect is best explained through a graph.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wisdom, or knowledge and experience on the X-axis, confidence on the Y axis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The learning\/confidence curve sort of looks like this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide15-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Diagram\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6355\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide15-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide15-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide15-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide15.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>When we first learn something new, we climb Mount Stupid. We learn a little about a specific topic, and we get all confident and excited about this new knowledge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in March 2020, we were all on Mount Stupid when it comes to epidemiology. We\u2019d read a blog post or two, and we became convinced that we knew <em>exactly<\/em> how to handle the Corona pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Or at least I did. I was solidly on Mount Stupid for a few weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With time, we learned that the pandemic is an extremely complex situation, and so for many of us, our confidence plummeted as our learning increased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is typical, as we learn more about a topic, we realize how much there\u2019s still to learn, and we fall into the Valley of Despair. We get the Impostor Syndrome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By contrast, the person on Mount Stupid <em>doesn\u2019t know that he\u2019s on Mount Stupid<\/em>. He doesn\u2019t know what he doesn\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Typically, as we learn more about the subject, we\u2019ll climb out of the pit of despair and enter the slope of enlightenment,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At some point, we reach the plateau of sustainability. See, there\u2019s still room to learn more, it\u2019s just that our confidence won\u2019t keep growing as we\u2019re learning. We\u2019re aware of our knowledge and that it\u2019s incomplete, but we\u2019re OK with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mostly when people discuss the Dunning-Kruger effect, they make the point that <em>stupid people<\/em> tend often to be on Mount Stupid, and can\u2019t get off it because they\u2019re too stupid. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I would argue that we\u2019re <em>all <\/em>on Mount Stupid, only with regards to different topics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anything we\u2019ve learned a little about and think we\u2019ve got the hang of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re all on Mount Stupid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And we\u2019re all enlightened. Only on different topics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take me for instance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide16-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"A screenshot of a computer\n\nDescription automatically generated with low confidence\" class=\"wp-image-6356\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide16-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide16-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide16-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/Slide16.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Karolina on the Dunning-Kruger scale regarding different topics.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, being an associate professor in this area, I know quite a lot about Ethology, and I\u2019m confident about my knowledge. That doesn\u2019t mean that I know all there is to know, there\u2019s still more knowledge to be had, and indeed I\u2019m most certainly misinformed in some areas, but my confidence wouldn\u2019t keep increasing as I learn more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Statistics is not my strong suit. I know enough to be daunted by it \u2013 I\u2019m solidly in the Pit of Despair with regards to statistics \u2013 and I\u2019m also not interested enough to keep learning about this topic and get out of there. And I also know that statisticians freak out over all the bad statistics in published scientific papers. In the latest experimental scientific paper I wrote I actually took help from a statistician.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Side note: many other authors don\u2019t take help from statisticians \u2013 many scientists are on Mount Stupid when it comes to statistics, and those results still get published. It\u2019s a collective huge problem, having to do with the wrong sample sizes, insufficient statistical power, using the wrong type of statistical method&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over 50% of publications within the medical field have faulty statistics (bad experimental design, data collection, choice of method, interpretation) \u2013 and within the study of animal behavior there\u2019s generally too low statistical power (too small sample sizes) to be able to draw any viable conclusions at all \u2013 and yet many hypotheses are rejected without stating power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As I said, a huge problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I digress, back to my personal Dunning-Kruger journeys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A while back I came to realize that I was on Mount Stupid when it comes to Behaviour Analysis. Actually, my confidence in that area has dropped significantly since that realization, so perhaps I should put that in the Valley of Despair, nowadays. The thing is that you don\u2019t know when you\u2019re on Mount Stupid. It\u2019s only in retrospect that you realize it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another instance when I&#8217;m confronted with Mount Stupid is when dog guardians or dog trainers confidently (and often condescendingly) tell me that I can&#8217;t teach them anything about dog behaviour because <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/brain-surgery\/\" target=\"_blank\">I&#8217;m not a dog trainer.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, time for a little introspection. <strong>Where are you with regards to different topics? Which areas of knowledge are your Valleys of Despair? On which topics are you on the Slope of Enlightenment? The Plateau of Sustainability?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>And importantly, when have you discovered having been on Mount Stupid?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Being on Mount Stupid is nothing to be ashamed of, it\u2019s part of the learning journey. When at first we learn about a new topic, our confidence in that area soars, before it drops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s <em>when we get stuck on Mount Stupid that we\u2019re in trouble<\/em>, because confident people share what they know, and during that stage we risk sharing information that is incorrect \u2013 we risk feeding the lies, and due to the cognitive biases we just discussed our friends and family are likely to believe us \u2013 and strangers are more likely to respond with reactance if we push them too much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m thinking that paradoxically, during the confidence boost while we\u2019re on Mount Stupid, we come across as more of an authority, since we won\u2019t express the doubt we\u2019ll start harboring once we learn more on the topic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What am I saying?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m saying the person on Mount Stupid is <em>more likely to share information<\/em> than the person in the Valley of Despair, because of the confidence boost. And that information is <em>more likely to be incorrect<\/em>, due to the lack of knowledge. And finally, that due to authority bias, people are <em>more likely to believe someone on Mount Stupid than someone in the Valley of Despair.<\/em> &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No wonder we\u2019re seeing all these unsubstantiated conspiracy theories \u2013 I\u2019m guessing they\u2019re driven by people on Mount Stupid, and catalyzed by that toxic mix of cognitive biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So how do we break the cycle? How do we teach effectively, to help people get off Mount Stupid and avoiding the Semmelweiss effect, the backfire effect and reactance?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ll get to that, but first; a final cognitive bias (actually, there are plenty more, I\u2019m just listing the most relevant ones for knowledge acquisition in this post).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This one is about trying to teach anything to someone who knows very little about a topic. Maybe they\u2019re on Mount Stupid, or maybe not even there yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This cognitive bias is related to teaching, and it\u2019s specifically about <em>not realizing how little the uninformed know.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is called the <strong>curse of knowledge<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The curse of knowledge is about how difficult it can be, once you have knowledge in one particular area, to remember what it\u2019s like not knowing anything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/curse-of-knowledge-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Diagram\n\nDescription automatically generated\" class=\"wp-image-6357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/curse-of-knowledge-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/curse-of-knowledge-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/curse-of-knowledge-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/curse-of-knowledge.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s me discussing the curse of knowledge with regards to animal training.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-vimeo wp-block-embed-vimeo wp-embed-aspect-9-16 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/592172339?dnt=1&amp;app_id=122963\" width=\"360\" height=\"640\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"autoplay; fullscreen; picture-in-picture; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Find the Training Game version that I mention in the video right <a href=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/04\/training-game-cars_two-trainers.doc\">here<\/a>. You&#8217;ll need two toy cars (or just a box of matches or an eraser will do nicely).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Normal people on the street have no idea what reinforcement means, or S<sup>D<\/sup>s, or counter conditioning, or all the jargon that we animal trainer geeks like to use. We need to speak to them in terms that they understand \u2013 without evoking the Semmelweiss \/ backfire effect or reactance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now I realize that I have perhaps introduced many new expressions in this blog post. Here\u2019s the most important take-home message: we humans evolved in a situation where we trusted the familiar and distrusted the unfamiliar. We\u2019re likely to accept any information from our tribe regardless of whether it\u2019s true, and reject any information from strangers, regardless of whether it\u2019s false.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So what to do?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sounds like meaningful discussions are bound to fail, right? Both people in a discussion will have these cognitive biases. What to do about them?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to fix those glasses<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, <strong>be aware of those cognitive biases in yourself.<\/strong> Daniel Kahneman, the Nobel Prize winner of economics, wrote the book <em>Thinking, fast and slow<\/em>. In this book we learn that there\u2019s essentially two types of thought in humans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>The fast, imprecise and easy way, which is automatic and subconscious \u2013 and involves all the biases we just touched on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>And the slow way, the hard way that requires mental effort, which is only turned on when we need to focus.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, our brain avoids turning that second system on, it\u2019s mostly in resting mode since it requires effort. Most of our thinking and decision making is subconscious, maybe up to 99%. I\u2019d say we can conquer some of our own cognitive biases by <em>being aware that we have those biases<\/em>, and consciously making an effort to understand where our knowledge comes from. So switching from the fast to the slow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trouble is, we\u2019re blind to our own cognitive biases, but we can often see them in others. So we need to <strong>question our own knowledge<\/strong>. How did we learn what we know? Where did we learn, from whom? Why do we believe what we do?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We should <strong>practice <em>metacognition<\/em>:<\/strong> thinking about our thinking. Keeping track of our ego. Is \u201cbeing right\u201d more important than learning something new? We should reflect on our knowledge base and challenge our own decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We need to <strong>listen to people who disagree with us<\/strong>. Don\u2019t just let them speak and wait for the moment where they fall silent so we can sink them and win the argument, but really listen and reflect. That\u2019s what makes having a discussion with someone so interesting. When you discover that you have a difference of opinion on one topic, it\u2019s no longer a case of <em>\u201cI\u2019m right and you\u2019re wrong, you moron!\u201d<\/em>, but rather thinking <em>\u201chmm\u2026 wonder if this is one of those instances where I could possibly be mistaken? Am I on Mount Stupid when it comes to this topic?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Consider other options. What if the earth IS flat? Play devil\u2019s advocate, <strong>challenge your own assumptions<\/strong>. Apparently, people who engage in debate teams get really good at this, because sometimes the task is to argue one perspective, and sometimes the task is to argue the other perspective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks to the internet, we can now get help finding both sides of the argument \u2013 through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.procon.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">procon<\/a>, for instance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Appreciate uncertainty.<\/strong> \u201dI don\u2019t know\u201d is OK. Embrace uncertainty as a stepping stone to rational and well-founded solutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Treasure mistakes as opportunities for learning.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And about getting through to other people, I can think of a few things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Be friendly,<\/strong> so that the novel ideas that you suggest are perceived as from someone they know, like, and trust rather than from a stranger.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>And <strong>introduce novel ideas gradually and non-confrontationally<\/strong>; you want to avoid the Semmelweiss effect, the backfire effect and reactance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Don\u2019t ask battleship questions<\/strong> trying to sink the other and win the argument, ask 20 questions with open answers, so you might learn more about the other.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Don\u2019t blame others for their mistaken beliefs.<\/strong> They\u2019re on Mount Stupid, help them get off it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wtf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Use memes to make your ideas familiar.<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Who knows, maybe you\u2019ll even end up changing <em>your<\/em> mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, before we wrap up, I promised to let you know my stance on the climate crisis, who won the US election in 2020, and how best to train animals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As to the climate crisis, I think it\u2019s very much real, that it\u2019s urgent, and that we desperately need to vote for politicians who make resolving the climate crisis their absolute top priority, and that we need to get ready for some big changes in the way we live, travel and work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As to who won the US election in 2020, I believe it was Joe Biden \u2013 and that Donald Trump lost a landslide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And about how best to engage with animals, well, that\u2019s what I normally write about on this blog, and teach through free webinars, Masterclasses as well as full online courses on the topics of animal learning, behaviour, challenges and welfare. Sign up below, and I\u2019ll keep you posted on these events!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">References:<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Altman. <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1002\/sim.4780010109\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Statistics in medical journals.<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/ethnographic-and-archaeological-evidence-on-violent-deaths#share-of-violent-deaths-in-prehistoric-archeological-state-and-non-state-societies\" target=\"_blank\">Archaelogical evidence on violent deaths. <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jennions, M\u00f6ller 2003: <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/beheco\/article\/14\/3\/438\/257415?login=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A survey of the statistical power of research in behavioral ecology and animal behavior <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/List_of_cognitive_biases\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">More about cognitive biases.<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maoz et al., 2002. <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1177\/0022002702046004003\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Reactive Devaluation of an \u201cIsraeli\u201d vs. \u201cPalestinian\u201d Peace Proposal<\/a> &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pandolfi &amp; Carreras 2014: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/download\/48398122\/The_faulty_statistics_of_complementary_a20160828-23859-8olqlj.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the Faulty Statistics of Complementary Alternative Medicine (CAM).<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why telling the difference between The True Truth and The Fake News is so difficult. There\u2019s lots of information out there on the internet. And sometimes it\u2019s contradictory. In this blog post, I will not discuss these topics at any length (although if you\u2019re insatiably curious, I\u2019ll reveal my position on them), but rather beg [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6334"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6334"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8122,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6334\/revisions\/8122"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illis.se\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}